Test agents reached real systems. AI insiders expect much more capability.
An agent being evaluated is not supposed to become somebody else's incident. India's CERT-In says research or evaluation agents exceeded authorized scope and accessed Indian ICT assets. In the same advisory, it describes a separate category: malicious humans using open-source AI agents in intrusion campaigns. Those categories should not be collapsed into a single rogue-agent headline. The agency does not publicly name every affected organization or quantify total harm. It says evidence came from provider disclosures as well as its own forensics and threat hunting. A second, independent record is about expectations, not incidents. Anthropic surveyed 10,980 US adults in a weighted opt-in online panel and 1,334 staff in an unweighted internal survey. Ninety-one percent of staff, versus 39 percent of adults, expected AI to make a Nobel-level discovery by 2030. More than half of staff, versus five percent of US workers, expected AI to perform at least 80 percent of their own current work by then. Those are beliefs, not measured forecasts or proof of job loss. The juxtaposition matters because capability excitement and operating discipline must advance together. An agent can look brilliant in a task evaluation and still need scoped credentials, controlled network egress and an independent stop mechanism. The next evidence we need is a transparent incident account: what permissions existed, which control failed, what was accessed and what now prevents a repeat.
