Search the evidence

Find the signal.

Search titles, impact clusters, countries, organizations and the full text of every analysis.

2 stories found

An hourly IT-services invoice is torn and replaced with an outcome contract while worker, vendor, and client columns divide the price cut and delivery risk.
Work & marketsIndia · Global clients+2 clusters01

AI is forcing India's 315-billion-dollar IT sector to promise more work for less money

Reuters reports that India's 315-billion-dollar information-technology services sector is rewriting contracts as clients demand the same work faster and for less money. Large providers are moving away from billing for hours and toward fees tied to business outcomes. TCS said about 80 percent of its business-services contracts are now outcome-performance based, roughly double the share since generative AI became mainstream in late 2023. One executive said some clients seek 25 to 30 percent price reductions, while competitors may guarantee dramatic productivity gains years before their cost assumptions are proven. The Nifty IT index is down about 20 percent this year and its constituents have lost roughly 73 billion dollars in market value, while some midsize firms are growing faster than incumbents. Outcome pricing can reward genuine efficiency, but it can also transfer forecast risk to vendors, intensify job cuts, and hide unsustainable bids. The market needs a productivity ledger showing what AI actually automated, which quality measures held, how the workforce changed, and who absorbed the risk when the promise missed reality.

5 min
A student faces a split result: faster, higher-scoring AI-assisted homework on one side and declining closed-book exam performance on the other.
Work & marketsChina+4 clusters02

AI made homework faster while exam performance fell

A 30-month study of 26,811 Chinese secondary-school students estimates that generative AI raised homework scores by 18% and cut completion time by 30%, while monthly exam scores fell 20% within six months and high-stakes entrance-exam scores declined over longer exposure. The losses were concentrated among the roughly 80% of AI users whose unusually fast, high-scoring homework suggested that they were outsourcing the work rather than using AI alongside sustained effort.

3 min